Washington, DC – September 14, 2025
In a bold ultimatum aimed at rallying NATO allies against Russia’s war machine, President Donald Trump declared on Saturday that the United States stands ready to unleash “major sanctions” on Moscow—but only if every member of the alliance first stops purchasing Russian oil and joins in the punitive measures. The announcement, posted on Trump’s Truth Social platform as an open “letter to all NATO nations and the world,” underscores growing frustrations in Washington over Europe’s uneven commitment to ending the conflict now in its fourth year.
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“I am ready to do major Sanctions on Russia when all NATO Nations have agreed, and started, to do the same thing, and when all NATO Nations STOP BUYING OIL FROM RUSSIA,” Trump wrote, labeling the continued imports by some allies as “shocking” and a direct weakening of the West’s leverage against Vladimir Putin. He went further, urging NATO to collectively impose tariffs of 50 to 100 percent on China, which he accused of maintaining a “strong control” over Russia’s economy through massive oil purchases. “If NATO does as I say, the WAR will end quickly,” Trump added. “If not, you are just wasting my time.”
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The post arrives amid Trump’s high-stakes diplomatic push to broker peace, a cornerstone of his 2024 campaign promises. Last month, he hosted Putin in Anchorage, Alaska—their first in-person meeting since Trump’s return to the White House—for talks on a potential settlement. Days later, he convened Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy and European leaders in Washington, DC, to hash out guarantees. Yet, with little tangible progress, Moscow and Kyiv remain deadlocked on core issues like territorial concessions and security assurances. Zelenskyy, in a recent ABC News interview, praised the idea of tariffs on nations still trading with Russia, calling it “the right idea” and decrying the “unfair” oil deals that fuel the Kremlin’s war chest.
Trump’s rhetoric reflects mounting pressure from U.S. lawmakers, including a bipartisan sanctions bill introduced by Senators Lindsey Graham (R-SC) and Richard Blumenthal (D-CT) in July. Critics, however, worry the conditional approach could delay action, especially as Russia’s energy revenues—estimated at over €210 billion ($230 billion) from European sales since 2022—remain its lifeline for the invasion. The Centre for Research on Energy and Clean Air (CREA) reports that NATO members like Turkey (the alliance’s third-largest Russian oil buyer after China and India), Hungary, and Slovakia continue to import significant volumes, bypassing broader EU bans on maritime crude and refined products.
The European Union has slashed its Russian oil imports dramatically—from $16.4 billion in Q1 2021 to $1.72 billion in Q1 2025, per Eurostat data—but loopholes persist for liquefied natural gas and indirect routes. Britain, for its part, announced fresh penalties on Friday, banning 70 vessels tied to Russian oil transport and sanctioning 30 Chinese and Turkish firms supplying Moscow with weapons components. G7 finance ministers, in a call the same day, discussed escalating measures against “enablers” of the war, signaling alignment with Trump’s vision.
Trump’s tariff threat against China builds on recent U.S. actions: In August, he slapped a 50 percent levy on Indian imports over New Delhi’s Russian oil binge, though Beijing has dodged similar reprisals—for now. Analysts see this as a high-wire act, balancing economic warfare with the risk of global market shocks. “Energy sanctions are a central target because they hit Putin’s wallet hardest,” said a White House official speaking anonymously. “But without full NATO buy-in, it’s like herding cats.”
The ultimatum lands against a backdrop of acute military escalation. Just days earlier, on September 10, Russian drones—launched amid Moscow’s largest aerial barrage on Ukraine to date—breached Polish and Romanian airspace in what NATO branded an “unprecedented act of aggression.” Polish forces, for the first time since the 2022 invasion, shot down multiple intruders, scrambling F-16 jets and helicopters in coordination with allies. “Ground-based air defense and radar systems reached their highest alert,” Poland’s military posted on X, describing the response as “preventative.”
In Romania, two F-16s tracked a drone until it vanished near the village of Chilia Veche, close to Ukraine’s border, during strikes on nearby infrastructure. NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte called it a “reckless” violation, warning Putin: “Stop the war… Stop violating allied airspace. We will defend every inch of NATO territory.” The incursion, involving up to 19 drones from Belarus and Russia, damaged a Polish home but caused no casualties. It’s the most serious spillover yet, following isolated breaches in Poland last month and a Russian helicopter intrusion over Estonia.
European leaders condemned the moves as deliberate provocations. French President Emmanuel Macron deemed them “simply unacceptable,” while EU foreign affairs chief Kaja Kallas labeled it “the most serious European airspace violation by Russia since the war began.” The UN’s Stephane Dujarric highlighted the “real risk” of regional spillover, urging de-escalation. Russia’s Defense Ministry insisted the strikes targeted only Ukraine, denying intent, but experts point to a pattern: intensified bombings on Ukrainian cities since the Alaska summit, killing dozens in Kyiv alone last month.
On the ground, Russia pressed its advantage Saturday, claiming capture of Novomykolaivka village in Ukraine’s central Dnipropetrovsk region—near the Donetsk frontlines, where fighting rages fiercest. Moscow’s Defense Ministry said troops seized the settlement, first reached in early July, marking a symbolic push into an area not among the five regions (Donetsk, Luhansk, Kherson, Zaporizhia, Crimea) it has annexed. Ukrainian analysts at DeepState map contested the claim, insisting Kyiv retains control. At war’s end, Russia occupies about 20 percent of Ukraine, demanding Donbas withdrawal as a ceasefire precondition—a non-starter for Zelenskyy.
The Ukrainian leader, speaking Friday, accused Putin of aiming to “occupy all of Ukraine” and refusing to halt until victory, regardless of concessions. “He will not stop,” Zelenskyy warned. Ukraine has received over €309 billion ($360 billion) in aid from 41 nations since 2022, per tracking data, but fatigue shows: Related stories highlight rifts between Europe and the U.S. over funding, with each side eyeing the other’s wallet for security burdens.
As Trump eyes a “new geopolitical equilibrium,” his NATO letter could galvanize or fracture the alliance. With Russian drones buzzing NATO borders and oil dollars propping up Putin’s artillery, the clock ticks toward either breakthrough—or broader confrontation. For now, the war grinds on, day 1,298, with no end in sight.
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